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Smart Grid Investing
With the likely passage of the “Cap and Trade” bill, many investors are jumping on the renewable energy bandwagon. And why not. With the government about to mandate a cap-and-trade program that will drive up the cost of electricity, there are many new opportunities to capitalize on the flow of investment dollars from public and private sources. They also are looking for investment opportunities through stocks of smart grid companies.
This head long push into alternative power generation is causing investors to take a new look at the old electrical grid system. While there have been attempts to move to a market based power generation system, most of these efforts have failed to achieve their original goals. Moreover, the electricity transmission and distribution system remains much the same and is a big problem. For example, T. Boone Pickens has announced he is curtailing his plans to build the world’s largest wind farm in West Texas. Part of the reason is the lack of adequate transmission lines to carry electricity from the remote wind sites to cities. This is where a smart grid investment program makes sense for investors.
Investing in the Smart Grid
This old electrical grid system is designed to distribute power from consistent generation facilities that are close by. Building large wind farms in West Texas requires a way to move that power to urban areas that need it. Moreover, what happens if the wind stops blowing during the hottest days of the summer? Our current electrical grid system is ill suited to handle the variability of new sources of electrical power. Solving the transition to new power sources is only half the battle. After generating the power, you need to distribute it to where it is needed at the right time, in the right amounts and at a lower cost.
You can make an interesting comparison with the current electrical grid and communications network. If Alexander Graham Bell, the inventor of the telephone, were to come back today, he would not recognize the modern day communication system with digital based internet and wireless networks with their cell phones, Web 2.0, YouTube and Twitter. On the other hand, if Thomas Edison were to return, he would readily recognize our electrical transmission and distribution scheme, as he was one of the grid’s earliest architects. While it has grown significantly, the basic design remains the same.
The Smart Grid is the conceptual answer to the vast changes needed to adapt the current electrical system to one that is more efficient, adaptable, and capable of handling the variability of the sources of power while helping customers use electricity more efficiently. Like the evolution of the internet and the dotcom boom and bust, this is a huge opportunity with many unknown risks.
The Opportunity
According to Cisco, the smart grid offers major investment opportunities that are bigger than the internet for those prepared to take advantage of them. Jeff Immelt, CEO of GE believes the Smart Grid will be the biggest investment of the first half of the 21st century. President Obama is counting on investments by the government and companies in the smart grid to help the United States release it from its dependence on foreign oil.
According to a 2009 report by the American Society of Civil Engineers, $2 trillion will need to be invested in our electric infrastructure by 2030. The Brattle Group estimates that it will take $1.5 trillion to between 2010 and 2030 to pay for the upgrades necessary for the additional infrastructure for tomorrow’s electrical system.
These investments will take place throughout the electrical grid, in the home, in buildings, on campuses, neighborhoods in cities and across continents. Already we are seeing a few of these improvements. Some homes have smart meters that track electricity use in detail, providing the information to utilities. Eventually, homeowners will be able to access this data so they can make adjustments in their power consumption. The cost of these meters is quite high and is passed on to consumers. The hope is that once consumers have access to the information on their electricity usage, they will take steps to cut their consumption of electricity offsetting the cost.
The Risks of Investing in the Smart Grid
This raises the question whether there is a cost-benefit trade off from many of the investments to achieve the goal of a smart grid. Many people equate the smart grid to the growth of the internet. Much like the investment that came with the growth of the internet, there were some that provided valuable benefits. Others never paid off. I suspect we will see many smart grid investments experience the same fate. For example, as reported by the WSJ on APRIL 27, 2009, the home smart meters cost $250 to $500 per installed device. At this price, it is not clear if the meters will provide sufficient benefit to cover their costs.
The parallel to investing in the internet is an interesting analogy. The big winners were able to attach themselves to the “killer application” that drove business to them. However, there were many losers who failed to achieve their promise. Finally, those who provide many of the components and installed the infrastructure did well, even if they were not big winners.
OK, what is the killer application of the smart grid? The best definition I found for a killer app comes from www.netreturn.com “A new good or service that establishes an entirely new category and by being first dominates it creating an enormous return on the initial investment”. Some people believe the smart grid killer app will be the electric plug in car. Not sure, that meets the definition very well.
Anyone remember the smart home? It has been trying to get off the ground for a number of years. This was another idea some put forward that has not received much success, as the payoff has been hard to generate.
Smart Grid Companies and Stocks
There is a number of start-up and established smart grid companies creating products for this market. Smart grid stock pure plays such as Comverge (COMV)), RuggedCom (RCM.TO) and EnerNOC (ENOC) all became public in the second quarter of 2007. Some very large companies like GE, Honeywell, Cisco, and Google have smart grid offerings. Keep in mind, the size of their smart grid services is relatively small when compared to their total sales.
Companies that provide and install many of the components of a smart grid should offer good returns; much like the companies who sold picks and shovels to the miners. Stocks of smart grid companies like ABB Ltd (ABB), Siemens A.G., and GE are likely to benefit as electric utilities build the new infrastructure for the smart grid. One way to approach this market is through an ETF that holds stocks in a smart grid fund. The Cleantech Index CTIUS, created by The Cleantech Group LLC is the basis for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that hold smart grid stocks in the PowerShares Cleantech Portfolio ETF (AMEX: PZD) and the KSM Cleantech ETF in Israel. The index includes large companies like ABB and Siemens as well as smaller firms like Vestas Wind systems (VWS.CO), Itron (ITRI), Trimble Navigation (TRMB) and RuggedCom (RCM.TO). These ETFs hold stocks of companies that focus on clean technology, not just smart grid companies.
Investing in smart grid stocks will offer exceptional opportunities. It will also create substantial losses for those who do not tread carefully. While it is tempting to bet on what will be the killer app for the smart grid, a more conservative strategy is to focus on the companies that can show real cost benefit from their products or services and who generate positive cash flow.
About the Author
Principle: Hans E. Wagner, CEO of Trading Online Markets LLC and Peregrine Advisors LLC
I began investing in high school and have remained active in the markets. A graduate of the US Air Force Academy with an MBA majoring in Finance from the University of Colorado, I continued to invest throughout my career in the US Air Force, Bank of America, Coopers & Lybrand, and working for Ross Perot before retiring at 55. During that time I have gained a very good understanding of what works and what doesn't. I hope to impart that knowledge to others, so they can achieve financial independence as well.
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Factory Reconditioned Honeywell 6066R 2,000 Watt Inverter Portable Generator $468.99 2,000 Watt Inverter Portable Generator - 6066R |
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ShowStopper Generator Cover $44.99 Willie and Max ShowStopper Generator Cover Chrome plated Quick and easy installation Stylish and contemporary look Precision engineered and tested against the industry's highest performance standards |
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Raider Medium Generator Cover $36.61 Protect your generator with this durable Generator cover from Raider. Highlighting a 300D polyester construction for all season protection and an included storage bag this cover is an ideal choice.All season protection Size: MediumStorage bag includedMaterials: 300D 100-percent polyester Dimensions: 24.8 inches high x 22.8 inches wide x 22 inches deepModel: 02-1004 |
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Champion AGC5500 Large Generator Cover $63.79 Keep you Champion Generator covered and protected Shelter your generator from rain snow and the sun with this lightweight generator cover from Champion. Fits 50007000 watt Champion generators. 19 W x 29 L x 19 H. Lightweight 2 lbs. Waterproof vinyl. Can be folded for easy storage. |
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Champion AGC1200 Small Generator Cover $49.95 Champion Generator Cover (Small) AGC1200 Many Pretenders some contenders One CHAMPION Keep you Champion Generator covered and protected Shelter your generator from rain snow and the sun with this lightweight generator cover from Champion. Fits 10001500 watt Champion generators. 15 W x 18 L x 15 H. Lightweight 2 lbs. Waterproof vinyl Can be folded for easy storage. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79527-SC $22.42 Classic Accessories Equipment & Lawn Mower Covers in stock now! Read Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79527-SC customer reviews. AutoAccessoriesGarage.com has the best selection of Classic Accessories Garage Accessories at the lowest prices around. Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79527-SC are chosen by auto enthusiasts everywhere to personalize their vehicles. Classic Accessories Generator Cover available now at AutoAccessoriesGarage. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79537 $28.21 Classic Accessories Equipment & Lawn Mower Covers in stock now! Read Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79537 customer reviews. AutoAccessoriesGarage.com has the best selection of Classic Accessories Garage Accessories at the lowest prices around. Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79537 are chosen by auto enthusiasts everywhere to personalize their vehicles. Classic Accessories Generator Cover available now at AutoAccessoriesGarage. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79547 $34.22 Classic Accessories Equipment & Lawn Mower Covers in stock now! Read Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79547 customer reviews. AutoAccessoriesGarage.com has the best selection of Classic Accessories Garage Accessories at the lowest prices around. Classic Accessories Generator Cover 79547 are chosen by auto enthusiasts everywhere to personalize their vehicles. Classic Accessories Generator Cover available now at AutoAccessoriesGarage. |
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Great Generator $229.95 Drag Specialties "Great" Generator Replacement 10A, 12V generator Features a balanced armature, precision-ground, heat-treated armature shaft, die-cast and machined-aluminum end cover and end plate Brush end contains sealed roller bearing, while the drive end has a shielded ball bearing Available in black or chrome versions All components are interchangeable with OEM parts |
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Generator Cover Large $23.06 Generator Cover All Season Protection This cover will protect your equipment against sun damage, rain, dust, birds and tree sap. With the heavy duty coated weather protected fabric, it won't shrink or stretch. The fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency for long lasting use. Fast Protection Elastic Shock Cord for Custom Fit 3 Sizes Available Handy Integrated Stuff Sack Medium fits up to 3000 Watts Large Fits up to 7000 Watts X Large Fits up to 15,000 Watts Cover Dimensions: Medium Cover: 24" L x 16.5" W x 16" H Large Cover: 32.75" L x 24.5" W x 21.25" H X Large Cover: 37" L x 25" W x 27.5" H Ships Quickly! Created by Classic Accessories Today, with over 500 products in eight categories, Classic Accessories, together with Garden.com, protects your investments and keeps you organized in all your outdoor activities. Whether you are an avid hunter or fly fisher, love boating or RVing or just want to protect your home tools and patio furnishings, Classic Accessories is continually growing and creating products to fit your needs. Classic Accessories' commitment to research, design, development and quality have established them as an industry leader in outdoor covers. Garden.com proudly presents this line of high quality covers. |
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Generator Cover Medium $24.95 Generator Cover All Season Protection This cover will protect your equipment against sun damage, rain, dust, birds and tree sap. With the heavy duty coated weather protected fabric, it won't shrink or stretch. The fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency for long lasting use. Fast Protection Elastic Shock Cord for Custom Fit 3 Sizes Available Handy Integrated Stuff Sack Medium fits up to 3000 Watts Large Fits up to 7000 Watts X Large Fits up to 15,000 Watts Cover Dimensions: Medium Cover: 24" L x 16.5" W x 16" H Large Cover: 32.75" L x 24.5" W x 21.25" H X Large Cover: 37" L x 25" W x 27.5" H Ships Quickly! Created by Classic Accessories Today, with over 500 products in eight categories, Classic Accessories, together with Garden.com, protects your investments and keeps you organized in all your outdoor activities. Whether you are an avid hunter or fly fisher, love boating or RVing or just want to protect your home tools and patio furnishings, Classic Accessories is continually growing and creating products to fit your needs. Classic Accessories' commitment to research, design, development and quality have established them as an industry leader in outdoor covers. Garden.com proudly presents this line of high quality covers. |
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Generator Cover X Large $27.98 Generator Cover All Season Protection This cover will protect your equipment against sun damage, rain, dust, birds and tree sap. With the heavy duty coated weather protected fabric, it won't shrink or stretch. The fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency for long lasting use. Fast Protection Elastic Shock Cord for Custom Fit 3 Sizes Available Handy Integrated Stuff Sack Medium fits up to 3000 Watts Large Fits up to 7000 Watts X Large Fits up to 15,000 Watts Cover Dimensions: Medium Cover: 24" L x 16.5" W x 16" H Large Cover: 32.75" L x 24.5" W x 21.25" H X Large Cover: 37" L x 25" W x 27.5" H Ships Quickly! Created by Classic Accessories Today, with over 500 products in eight categories, Classic Accessories, together with Garden.com, protects your investments and keeps you organized in all your outdoor activities. Whether you are an avid hunter or fly fisher, love boating or RVing or just want to protect your home tools and patio furnishings, Classic Accessories is continually growing and creating products to fit your needs. Classic Accessories' commitment to research, design, development and quality have established them as an industry leader in outdoor covers. Garden.com proudly presents this line of high quality covers. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover (Medium) $21.35 Protect Your Investment! Cover It!The Classic Accessories Generator Cover keeps dirt, debris and weather out of the generator's motor. The heavy-duty fabric won't shrink or stretch and is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency. An elastic shock cord in the bottom hem makes for a quick, custom fit, and offers fast protection to your generator when storing or on the job. The large and extra large sizes replace the shock cord with rip-and-grip closures on the back and have additional handle cutouts for generators with handles. We have included a handy integrated stuff sack for storing the cover. Fits generators to 3,000 watts 24"L 16.5"W 16"HProtects against rain, snow, sun damage, dust, tree sap, and birdsHeavy-duty fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency, and won't shrink or stretchElastic shock cord in bottom hem for a quick, custom fitFast protection when storing or on the jobHandy integrated stuff sackOne year against manufacture's defectTo see all the sizes this item is available in, please click here. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover (Large) $28.35 Protect Your Investment! Cover It!The Classic Accessories Generator Cover keeps dirt, debris and weather out of the generator's motor. The heavy-duty fabric won't shrink or stretch and is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency. An elastic shock cord in the bottom hem makes for a quick, custom fit, and offers fast protection to your generator when storing or on the job. The large and extra large sizes replace the shock cord with rip-and-grip closures on the back and have additional handle cutouts for generators with handles. We have included a handy integrated stuff sack for storing the cover. Fits generators to 7,000 watts 32.75"L 24.5"W 21.25"HProtects against rain, snow, sun damage, dust, tree sap, and birdsHeavy-duty fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency, and won't shrink or stretchRip-and-grip closures on the back and additional handle cutouts for generators with handlesFast protection when storing or on the jobHandy integrated stuff sackOne year against manufacture's defectTo see all the sizes this item is available in, please click here. |
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Honeywell 6064 800 Watt Inverter Portable Generator $319 Oil. Oil Funnel. Spark Plug Wrench. Screwdriver. Instruction Sheets |
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Honeywell 6036 5,500 Watt Portable Generator $699 Oil. Oil Funnel. Quick Set-Up Card. Instruction Sheets |
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Honeywell 6065 1,600 Watt Inverter Portable Generator $469 Oil. Oil Funnel. Battery Charging Cord. Spark Plug Wrench. Screwdriver. Instruction Sheets |
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Honeywell 5973 3,250 Watt Portable Generator $439 Oil. Oil Funnel. Quick Set-Up Card. Instruction Sheets |
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Honeywell 6038 6,500 Watt Portable Generator $799 Oil. Oil Funnel. Quick Set-Up Card. Instruction Sheets |
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Honeywell 6066 2,000 Watt Inverter Portable Generator $569 Oil. Oil Funnel. Battery Charging Cord. Spark Plug Wrench. Screwdriver. Instruction Sheets |
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7600-Pce - Honeywell Protective Cover $32.83 protective Cover Rubber Boot [L95065] UNSPC: 43191629 6.6L x 3.1W x 1.3H 0.15 LB |
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Honeywell / Honeywell HPA150 / HPA150 $184.31 Honeywell - Honeywell HPA150 - HPA150 |
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Honeywell / Honeywell 50250-S / 50250 $221.06 Honeywell - Honeywell 50250-S - 50250 |
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Honeywell / Honeywell HZ-315 / HZ-315 $51.64 Honeywell - Honeywell HZ-315 - HZ-315 |
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Honeywell International Honeywell International Sm Thermstat Cover guard CG511A1000 $10.32 Sm thermstat cover/guard Ultra-clear chemical and UV-resistant acrylic resin cover and base resist yellowing Secure, tumbler type key lock; key removable only in locked position Double-wall barrier in ring base blocks thermostat tampering tools, yet allows air circulation Ring base mounts directly over existing thermostat; no removal required Meets or exceeds UL pry test and impact test standards All covers are keyed alike Fits most small and medium size thermostats, 6-1/2? H. x 7-1/2? W. x 2-15/16? D Brand #: Honeywell International CG511A1000 UPC: 085267990028 Keywords: furnace thermostat guard locking cover |
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Honeywell International Honeywell International Lg Thermstat Cover guard CG512A1009 $13.49 Lg thermstat cover/guard Ultra-clear chemical and UV-resistant acrylic resin cover and base resist yellowing Secure, tumbler type key lock; key removable only in locked position Double-wall barrier in ring base blocks thermostat tampering tools, yet allows air circulation Ring base mounts directly over existing thermostat; no removal required Meets or exceeds UL pry test and impact test standards All covers are keyed alike Fits most medium and large size thermostats, 7-1/4? H. x 9-3/4? W. x 3-3/8? D Brand #: Honeywell International CG512A1009 UPC: 085267990011 Keywords: furnace thermostat guard locking cover |
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Classic Generator Cover $19.95 Keeps dirt, debris and weather out of the motor Features: Fast protection when storing or on the job Protects against rain, snow, sun damage, dust, tree sap and birds Heavy-duty fabric won?t shrink or stretch Fabric is coated for maximum water resistance and repellency Elastic shock cord in bottom hem for a quick, custom fit Large and extra large sizes replace the shock cord with rip-and-grip closures on the back and have additional handle cutouts for generators with handles Integrated storage bag Applications: Medium Large X-Large Part # Measurement Model 79527 24" (L) x 16.5" (W) x 16" (H) Medium 79537 32.75" (L) x 24.5" (W) x 21.25" (H) Large 79547 37" (L) x 25" (W) x 27.5" (H) X-Large |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover - Black - Large $29.99 The Classic Accessories Generator Cover keeps dirt, debris, and weather out of the motor. Made from Weather-X fabric with water-resistent backing for maximum strength, abrasion and weather protection. Fast protection when storing or on the job. Also protects against UV damage, rain, dirt, birds, and tree sap. Rip-and-grip adjustment tabs. Openings for generators with handles. Integrated storage bag. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover - Black - X Large $35.99 The Classic Accessories Generator Cover keeps dirt, debris, and weather out of the motor. Made from Weather-X fabric with water-resistent backing for maximum strength, abrasion and weather protection. Fast protection when storing or on the job. Also protects against UV damage, rain, dirt, birds, and tree sap. Rip-and-grip adjustment tabs. Openings for generators with handles. Integrated storage bag. |
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Classic Accessories Generator Cover - Black - Medium $23.99 The Classic Accessories Generator Cover keeps dirt, debris, and weather out of the motor. Made from Weather-X fabric with water-resistent backing for maximum strength, abrasion and weather protection. Fast protection when storing or on the job. Also protects against UV damage, rain, dirt, birds, and tree sap. Elastic hem cord. Integrated storage bag. |
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Champion C90015 Small Generator Cover $48.88 made from durable water repellent vinyl; specifically made for Champion generators to provide a custom fit; lightweight cover for easy coverage and travel. Length: 18. Height: 15. Width: 15 |
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Champion C90011 Medium Generator Cover $55.38 made from durable water repellent vinyl; specifically made for Champion generators to provide a custom fit; lightweight cover for easy coverage and travel. Length: 33. Height: 23. Width: 22 |
